| Current Price | $10.02 |
| 5Y Range | 2.20 – 3.66 |
| 5Y Selected | 2.93 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 85.25% |
| 5Y Buy Price | $0.43 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | -95.69% |
| 10Y Range | 2.20 – 3.49 |
| 10Y Selected | 2.84 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 85.25% |
| 10Y Buy Price | $0.42 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | -95.81% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue R2 (5Y) | 0.0058 |
| Revenue R2 (10Y) | 0.0007 |
| Net Income R2 (5Y) | 0.0016 |
| Net Income R2 (10Y) | 0.0096 |
| EBITDA R2 (5Y) | 0.8452 |
| EBITDA R2 (10Y) | 0.6965 |
| FCF R2 (5Y) | 0.0305 |
| FCF R2 (10Y) | 0.1004 |
| Safety Score | 0.1475 |
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % Growth | -8.04% | -6.70% | -5.37% | -4.03% | -2.69% | -1.35% | -0.01% | 1.32% | 2.66% | 4.00% |
| Revenue | 19.84 | 18.51 | 17.51 | 16.81 | 16.36 | 16.14 | 16.13 | 16.35 | 16.78 | 17.45 |
| EBITDA | 17.64 | 16.46 | 15.57 | 14.95 | 14.54 | 14.35 | 14.35 | 14.54 | 14.92 | 15.52 |
| D&A | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| EBIT | 17.64 | 16.46 | 15.57 | 14.95 | 14.54 | 14.35 | 14.35 | 14.54 | 14.92 | 15.52 |
| Pro forma Taxes | -7.03 | -6.55 | -6.20 | -5.95 | -5.79 | -5.72 | -5.71 | -5.79 | -5.94 | -6.18 |
| NOPAT | 10.61 | 9.90 | 9.37 | 8.99 | 8.75 | 8.63 | 8.63 | 8.75 | 8.98 | 9.34 |
| Capital Expenditures | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| NWC Investment | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| (+) D&A | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Free Cash Flow | 10.60 | 9.89 | 9.36 | 8.99 | 8.75 | 8.63 | 8.63 | 8.75 | 8.98 | 9.34 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 | 32,479,235.00 |
| Metric | May-26 | May-27 | May-28 | May-29 | May-30 | May-31 | May-32 | May-33 | May-34 | May-35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period Start | 11/30/24 | 6/1/26 | 6/1/27 | 6/1/28 | 6/1/29 | 6/1/30 | 6/1/31 | 6/1/32 | 6/1/33 | 6/1/34 |
| Period End | 5/31/26 | 5/31/27 | 5/31/28 | 5/31/29 | 5/31/30 | 5/31/31 | 5/31/32 | 5/31/33 | 5/31/34 | 5/31/35 |
| Mid-Point | 8/30/25 | 11/30/26 | 11/30/27 | 11/30/28 | 11/30/29 | 11/30/30 | 11/30/31 | 11/30/32 | 11/30/33 | 11/30/34 |
| Time (t) | 0.10 | 0.87 | 1.87 | 2.87 | 3.87 | 4.87 | 5.87 | 6.87 | 7.87 | 8.87 |
| Valuation Date | 1/17/26 | |||||||||
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.93 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.46 | ||
| PV UFCF | 10.51 | 9.17 | 7.96 | 7.00 | 6.25 | 5.65 | 5.18 | 4.81 | 4.53 | 4.31 | Raw: 125.72 85.93 |
Raw: 134.24 59.36 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 126.82 | 124.73 |
| (-) Net Debt | 36.68 | 36.68 |
| Equity Value | 90.14 | 88.05 |
| (/) Shares Out | 32.48 | 32.48 |
| Fair Value | $2.78 | $2.71 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 85.25% | 85.25% |
| Buy Price | $0.41 | $0.40 |
| Current Price | $10.02 | $10.02 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | -95.91% | -96.01% |
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.92 | 0.84 | 0.76 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.43 | ||
| PV UFCF | 10.50 | 9.10 | 7.82 | 6.82 | 6.03 | 5.40 | 4.91 | 4.52 | 4.21 | 3.98 | Raw: 103.28 67.83 |
Raw: 110.27 44.77 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 108.10 | 108.06 |
| (-) Net Debt | 36.68 | 36.68 |
| Equity Value | 71.42 | 71.38 |
| (/) Shares Out | 32.48 | 32.48 |
| Fair Value | $2.20 | $2.20 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 85.25% | 85.25% |
| Buy Price | $0.32 | $0.32 |
| Current Price | $10.02 | $10.02 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | -96.76% | -96.76% |
| Metric | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 0.50 | ||
| PV UFCF | 10.52 | 9.25 | 8.10 | 7.19 | 6.47 | 5.91 | 5.46 | 5.12 | 4.87 | 4.68 | Raw: 160.19 113.99 |
Raw: 171.04 82.46 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 155.51 | 150.02 |
| (-) Net Debt | 36.68 | 36.68 |
| Equity Value | 118.83 | 113.34 |
| (/) Shares Out | 32.48 | 32.48 |
| Fair Value | $3.66 | $3.49 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 85.25% | 85.25% |
| Buy Price | $0.54 | $0.51 |
| Current Price | $10.02 | $10.02 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | -94.61% | -94.86% |
| Metric | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implied Revenue | 141.64 | 352.22 | 875.87 | 2,178.02 | 5,416.07 | 13,468.12 | 33,491.10 | 83,282.13 | 207,097.21 | 514,987.45 |
| Constant Implied Growth | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% | 148.67% |
| Implied Free Cash Flow | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.54 | 1.35 | 3.35 | 8.33 | 20.71 | 51.50 |
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| Present Value of Implied FCF | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 0.35 | 0.81 | 1.84 | 4.20 | 9.57 | 21.79 |
| Year | Valuation Date | Actual Price | Realized Growth (5Y) | Calculated Fair Value | Valuation Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014-05-31 | $14.00 | -40.52% | $-5.17 | -136.95% |
| 2013 | 2013-05-31 | $15.37 | -16.21% | $-6.77 | -144.06% |
| $1.70 - $1.87 | 9 |
| $1.87 - $2.04 | 40 |
| $2.04 - $2.21 | 72 |
| $2.21 - $2.38 | 114 |
| $2.38 - $2.55 | 142 |
| $2.55 - $2.72 | 145 |
| $2.72 - $2.89 | 124 |
| $2.89 - $3.06 | 102 |
| $3.06 - $3.23 | 63 |
| $3.23 - $3.40 | 60 |
| $3.40 - $3.57 | 40 |
| $3.57 - $3.75 | 33 |
| $3.75 - $3.92 | 16 |
| $3.92 - $4.09 | 15 |
| $4.09 - $4.26 | 7 |
| $4.26 - $4.43 | 5 |
| $4.43 - $4.60 | 5 |
| $4.60 - $4.77 | 4 |
| $4.77 - $4.94 | 0 |
| $4.94 - $5.11 | 4 |