American Coastal Insurance Corporation

Fair Value Summary

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034
% Growth	-21.34%	-18.53%	-15.71%	-12.90%	-10.08%	-7.26%	-4.45%	-1.63%	1.18%	4.00%
Revenue	233.34	190.11	160.24	139.57	125.50	116.39	111.21	109.40	110.69	115.12
EBITDA	97.76	79.64	67.13	58.47	52.58	48.76	46.59	45.83	46.37	48.23
D&A	-7.07	-5.76	-4.86	-4.23	-3.80	-3.53	-3.37	-3.32	-3.36	-3.49
EBIT	90.68	73.88	62.27	54.24	48.77	45.23	43.22	42.51	43.02	44.74
Pro forma Taxes	-23.33	-19.01	-16.02	-13.95	-12.55	-11.64	-11.12	-10.94	-11.07	-11.51
NOPAT	67.35	54.88	46.25	40.29	36.23	33.60	32.10	31.58	31.95	33.23
Capital Expenditures	-3.08	-2.51	-2.11	-1.84	-1.65	-1.53	-1.47	-1.44	-1.46	-1.52
NWC Investment	-72.78	-49.70	-34.34	-23.75	-16.17	-10.48	-5.95	-2.09	1.49	5.09
(+) D&A	7.07	5.76	4.86	4.23	3.80	3.53	3.37	3.32	3.36	3.49
Free Cash Flow	-1.43	8.44	14.66	18.93	22.21	25.11	28.06	31.37	35.34	40.29
Diluted Shares Outstanding	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50	49,640,163.50

Metric	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Dec-32	Dec-33	Dec-34
Period Start	9/30/25	1/1/26	1/1/27	1/1/28	1/1/29	1/1/30	1/1/31	1/1/32	1/1/33	1/1/34
Period End	12/31/25	12/31/26	12/31/27	12/31/28	12/31/29	12/31/30	12/31/31	12/31/32	12/31/33	12/31/34
Mid-Point	11/15/25	7/2/26	7/2/27	7/1/28	7/2/29	7/2/30	7/2/31	7/1/32	7/2/33	7/2/34
Time (t)	0.10	0.46	1.46	2.46	3.46	4.46	5.46	6.46	7.46	8.46
Valuation Date	1/16/26

WACC: 9.10%Terminal Growth: 2.09%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.96	0.88	0.81	0.74	0.68	0.62	0.57	0.52	0.48
PV UFCF	-1.42	8.10	12.91	15.28	16.43	17.03	17.44	17.87	18.46	19.29	Raw: 323.38 229.07	Raw: 586.78 268.93

WACC: 10.10%Terminal Growth: 1.59%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.96	0.87	0.79	0.72	0.65	0.59	0.54	0.49	0.44
PV UFCF	-1.42	8.07	12.74	14.94	15.92	16.35	16.59	16.85	17.24	17.86	Raw: 265.08 181.10	Raw: 480.98 203.13

WACC: 8.10%Terminal Growth: 2.59%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.96	0.89	0.83	0.76	0.71	0.65	0.60	0.56	0.52
PV UFCF	-1.42	8.14	13.09	15.63	16.96	17.74	18.34	18.97	19.77	20.85	Raw: 413.43 303.73	Raw: 750.17 373.38

Current Price$12.82

WACC Used9.1%

IMPLIED REVENUE GROWTH119.19%

Metric	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	2035	2036
Implied Revenue	718.46	1,574.78	3,451.76	7,565.89	16,583.62	36,349.55	79,674.38	174,637.84	382,787.73	839,030.32
Constant Implied Growth	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%	119.19%
Implied Free Cash Flow	0.07	0.16	0.35	0.76	1.66	3.63	7.97	17.46	38.28	83.90
Discount Factor	0.93	0.81	0.74	0.68	0.62	0.57	0.52	0.48	0.44	0.40
Present Value of Implied FCF	0.07	0.13	0.26	0.51	1.03	2.07	4.16	8.36	16.80	33.75

Valuation based on actual realized growth.

Year	Valuation Date	Actual Price	Realized Growth (5Y)	Calculated Fair Value	Valuation Delta
2019	2019-12-31	$12.61	-21.89%	$17.05	35.22%
2018	2018-12-31	$16.62	-36.69%	$-0.77	-104.62%
2017	2017-12-31	$17.43	-36.81%	$-0.01	-100.05%
2016	2016-12-31	$15.14	-22.41%	$19.58	29.30%
2015	2015-12-31	$17.10	-1.91%	$60.33	252.79%
2014	2014-12-31	$21.95	-0.22%	$49.18	124.04%
2013	2013-12-31	$14.08	4.21%	$120.26	754.15%
2012	2012-12-31	$6.01	11.00%	$82.10	1,266.06%
2011	2011-12-31	$4.40	14.83%	$106.41	2,318.50%
2010	2010-12-31	$3.10	13.31%	$-15.79	-609.38%
2009	2009-12-31	$3.80	15.76%	$15.59	310.19%
2008	2008-12-31	$2.60	13.60%	$97.11	3,635.08%
2007	2007-12-31	$7.24	6.09%	$0.32	-95.53%
2006	2006-12-31	$7.15	-5.26%	$12.90	80.38%
2005	2005-12-31	$7.15	1.00%	$37.30	421.62%

Mean Fair Value
$9.94

Median
$9.71

10th Percentile
$8.17

90th Percentile
$12.01