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Pearl Holdings Acquisition Corp

Intrinsic Value Analysis (Discounted Cash Flow)Industry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Fair Value Summary

Current Price$11.32
5Y Range0.01 – 0.01
5Y Selected0.01
(-) Safety Margin59.14%
5Y Buy Price$0.01
Upside (to Buy Price)-99.95%
10Y Range0.01 – 0.01
10Y Selected0.01
(-) Safety Margin59.14%
10Y Buy Price$0.01
Upside (to Buy Price)-99.95%

Company Predictability & Safety

MetricValue
Revenue R2 (5Y)0.0000
Revenue R2 (10Y)0.0000
Net Income R2 (5Y)0.9924
Net Income R2 (10Y)0.9924
EBITDA R2 (5Y)0.8949
EBITDA R2 (10Y)0.8949
FCF R2 (5Y)0.8896
FCF R2 (10Y)0.8896
Safety Score0.4086

DA 10-Year Projection

Metric2024202520262027202820292030203120322033
% Growth0.00%0.44%0.89%1.33%1.78%2.22%2.67%3.11%3.56%4.00%
Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
D&A0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBIT0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Pro forma Taxes0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
NOPAT0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Capital Expenditures0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
NWC Investment0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
(+) D&A0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Free Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Diluted Shares Outstanding10,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.0010,921,500.00

Discounting Periods

MetricDec-24Dec-25Dec-26Dec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Dec-32Dec-33
Period Start9/30/241/1/251/1/261/1/271/1/281/1/291/1/301/1/311/1/321/1/33
Period End12/31/2412/31/2512/31/2612/31/2712/31/2812/31/2912/31/3012/31/3112/31/3212/31/33
Mid-Point11/15/247/2/257/2/267/2/277/1/287/2/297/2/307/2/317/1/327/2/33
Time (t)0.100.100.461.462.463.464.465.466.467.46
Valuation Date1/16/26

Base Case Projected Flows

WACC: 9.10%Terminal Growth: 2.00%
Metric2024202520262027202820292030203120322033TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.960.880.810.740.680.620.570.52
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Base Case Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt-0.16-0.16
Equity Value0.160.16
(/) Shares Out10.9210.92
Fair Value$0.01$0.01
(-) Safety Margin59.14%59.14%
Buy Price$0.01$0.01
Current Price$11.32$11.32
Upside (to Buy Price)-99.95%-99.95%

Conservative Projected Flows

WACC: 10.10%Terminal Growth: 1.50%
Metric2024202520262027202820292030203120322033TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.960.870.790.720.650.590.540.49
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Conservative Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt-0.16-0.16
Equity Value0.160.16
(/) Shares Out10.9210.92
Fair Value$0.01$0.01
(-) Safety Margin59.14%59.14%
Buy Price$0.01$0.01
Current Price$11.32$11.32
Upside (to Buy Price)-99.95%-99.95%

Aggressive Projected Flows

WACC: 8.10%Terminal Growth: 2.50%
Metric2024202520262027202820292030203120322033TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.960.890.830.760.710.650.600.56
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Aggressive Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt-0.16-0.16
Equity Value0.160.16
(/) Shares Out10.9210.92
Fair Value$0.01$0.01
(-) Safety Margin59.14%59.14%
Buy Price$0.01$0.01
Current Price$11.32$11.32
Upside (to Buy Price)-99.95%-99.95%

Rolling Historical DCF (Backtest)

Valuation based on actual realized growth.
Error: Rolling DCF Data Not Available
Debug Info: Read Error

Monte Carlo Simulation (1,000 Iterations)

Mean Fair Value
$0.01
Median
$0.01
10th Percentile
$0.01
90th Percentile
$0.01

Fair Value Distribution

$0.01 - $0.06
1000
$0.06 - $0.11
0
$0.11 - $0.16
0
$0.16 - $0.21
0
$0.21 - $0.26
0
$0.26 - $0.31
0
$0.31 - $0.36
0
$0.36 - $0.41
0
$0.41 - $0.46
0
$0.46 - $0.51
0
$0.51 - $0.56
0
$0.56 - $0.61
0
$0.61 - $0.66
0
$0.66 - $0.71
0
$0.71 - $0.76
0
$0.76 - $0.81
0
$0.81 - $0.86
0
$0.86 - $0.91
0
$0.91 - $0.96
0
$0.96 - $1.01
0