Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Financial Statements
Periods / Units
Fundamentals
Valuations
Miscellaneous
Analysis Mode
Full Access
See Pricing Start Trial

LF Capital Acquisition Corp. II

Intrinsic Value Analysis (Discounted Cash Flow)Industry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Fair Value Summary

Current Price$10.84
5Y Range-0.04 – -0.04
5Y Selected-0.04
(-) Safety Margin85.44%
5Y Buy Price$-0.01
Upside (to Buy Price)-100.05%
10Y Range-0.04 – -0.04
10Y Selected-0.04
(-) Safety Margin85.44%
10Y Buy Price$-0.01
Upside (to Buy Price)-100.05%

Company Predictability & Safety

MetricValue
Revenue R2 (5Y)0.0000
Revenue R2 (10Y)0.0000
Net Income R2 (5Y)0.1068
Net Income R2 (10Y)0.1068
EBITDA R2 (5Y)0.6000
EBITDA R2 (10Y)0.6000
FCF R2 (5Y)0.0136
FCF R2 (10Y)0.0136
Safety Score0.1456

DA 10-Year Projection

Metric2023202420252026202720282029203020312032
% Growth0.00%0.44%0.89%1.33%1.78%2.22%2.67%3.11%3.56%4.00%
Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
D&A0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBIT0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Pro forma Taxes0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
NOPAT0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Capital Expenditures0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
NWC Investment0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
(+) D&A0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Free Cash Flow0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Diluted Shares Outstanding22,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.0022,067,000.00

Discounting Periods

MetricDec-23Dec-24Dec-25Dec-26Dec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Dec-32
Period Start6/30/231/1/241/1/251/1/261/1/271/1/281/1/291/1/301/1/311/1/32
Period End12/31/2312/31/2412/31/2512/31/2612/31/2712/31/2812/31/2912/31/3012/31/3112/31/32
Mid-Point9/30/237/1/247/2/257/2/267/2/277/1/287/2/297/2/307/2/317/1/32
Time (t)0.100.100.100.461.462.463.464.465.466.46
Valuation Date1/16/26

Base Case Projected Flows

WACC: 9.10%Terminal Growth: 2.00%
Metric2023202420252026202720282029203020312032TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.990.960.880.810.740.680.620.57
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Base Case Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt0.810.81
Equity Value-0.81-0.81
(/) Shares Out22.0722.07
Fair Value$-0.04$-0.04
(-) Safety Margin85.44%85.44%
Buy Price$-0.01$-0.01
Current Price$10.84$10.84
Upside (to Buy Price)-100.05%-100.05%

Conservative Projected Flows

WACC: 10.10%Terminal Growth: 1.50%
Metric2023202420252026202720282029203020312032TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.990.960.870.790.720.650.590.54
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Conservative Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt0.810.81
Equity Value-0.81-0.81
(/) Shares Out22.0722.07
Fair Value$-0.04$-0.04
(-) Safety Margin85.44%85.44%
Buy Price$-0.01$-0.01
Current Price$10.84$10.84
Upside (to Buy Price)-100.05%-100.05%

Aggressive Projected Flows

WACC: 8.10%Terminal Growth: 2.50%
Metric2023202420252026202720282029203020312032TV (5y)TV (10y)
Discount Factor0.990.990.990.960.890.830.760.710.650.60
PV UFCF0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00
Raw: 0.00
0.00

Aggressive Valuation

5-Year Horizon10-Year Horizon
UFCFUFCF
Enterprise Value0.000.00
(-) Net Debt0.810.81
Equity Value-0.81-0.81
(/) Shares Out22.0722.07
Fair Value$-0.04$-0.04
(-) Safety Margin85.44%85.44%
Buy Price$-0.01$-0.01
Current Price$10.84$10.84
Upside (to Buy Price)-100.05%-100.05%

Rolling Historical DCF (Backtest)

Valuation based on actual realized growth.
Error: Rolling DCF Data Not Available
Debug Info: Read Error

Monte Carlo Simulation (1,000 Iterations)

Mean Fair Value
$-0.04
Median
$-0.04
10th Percentile
$-0.04
90th Percentile
$-0.04

Fair Value Distribution

$-0.04 - $0.01
1000
$0.01 - $0.06
0
$0.06 - $0.11
0
$0.11 - $0.16
0
$0.16 - $0.21
0
$0.21 - $0.26
0
$0.26 - $0.31
0
$0.31 - $0.36
0
$0.36 - $0.41
0
$0.41 - $0.46
0
$0.46 - $0.51
0
$0.51 - $0.56
0
$0.56 - $0.61
0
$0.61 - $0.66
0
$0.66 - $0.71
0
$0.71 - $0.76
0
$0.76 - $0.81
0
$0.81 - $0.86
0
$0.86 - $0.91
0
$0.91 - $0.96
0