| Current Price | $2,330.00 |
| 5Y Range | 9,370.00 – 23,064.26 |
| 5Y Selected | 16,217.13 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 62.97% |
| 5Y Buy Price | $6,527.39 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 180.15% |
| 10Y Range | 10,669.92 – 25,644.71 |
| 10Y Selected | 18,157.31 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 62.97% |
| 10Y Buy Price | $7,308.32 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 213.66% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue R2 (5Y) | 0.9544 |
| Revenue R2 (10Y) | 0.9695 |
| Net Income R2 (5Y) | 0.0051 |
| Net Income R2 (10Y) | 0.5941 |
| EBITDA R2 (5Y) | 0.0014 |
| EBITDA R2 (10Y) | 0.6333 |
| FCF R2 (5Y) | 0.1951 |
| FCF R2 (10Y) | 0.4365 |
| Safety Score | 0.4025 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % Growth | 6.52% | 6.24% | 5.96% | 5.68% | 5.40% | 5.12% | 4.84% | 4.56% | 4.28% | 4.00% |
| Revenue | 32,975,993.44 | 35,033,916.35 | 37,122,143.14 | 39,230,867.40 | 41,349,498.50 | 43,466,731.34 | 45,570,630.34 | 47,648,727.41 | 49,688,132.84 | 51,675,658.16 |
| EBITDA | 2,024,692.00 | 2,151,046.35 | 2,279,261.32 | 2,408,734.81 | 2,538,816.58 | 2,668,812.49 | 2,797,989.72 | 2,925,582.74 | 3,050,800.13 | 3,172,832.14 |
| D&A | -185,048.57 | -196,596.84 | -208,315.16 | -220,148.51 | -232,037.45 | -243,918.54 | -255,724.81 | -267,386.29 | -278,830.65 | -289,983.88 |
| EBIT | 1,839,643.44 | 1,954,449.51 | 2,070,946.16 | 2,188,586.31 | 2,306,779.13 | 2,424,893.95 | 2,542,264.91 | 2,658,196.45 | 2,771,969.48 | 2,882,848.26 |
| Pro forma Taxes | -439,166.43 | -466,573.36 | -494,383.87 | -522,467.36 | -550,682.78 | -578,879.59 | -606,898.81 | -634,574.41 | -661,734.73 | -688,204.12 |
| NOPAT | 1,400,477.00 | 1,487,876.15 | 1,576,562.29 | 1,666,118.95 | 1,756,096.35 | 1,846,014.37 | 1,935,366.10 | 2,023,622.03 | 2,110,234.75 | 2,194,644.14 |
| Capital Expenditures | -252,551.61 | -268,312.52 | -284,305.52 | -300,455.50 | -316,681.36 | -332,896.50 | -349,009.53 | -364,924.95 | -380,544.04 | -395,765.80 |
| NWC Investment | -360,927.99 | -367,949.50 | -373,367.73 | -377,032.60 | -378,803.92 | -378,553.91 | -376,169.87 | -371,556.57 | -364,638.64 | -355,362.65 |
| (+) D&A | 185,048.57 | 196,596.84 | 208,315.16 | 220,148.51 | 232,037.45 | 243,918.54 | 255,724.81 | 267,386.29 | 278,830.65 | 289,983.88 |
| Free Cash Flow | 972,045.97 | 1,048,210.97 | 1,127,204.20 | 1,208,779.35 | 1,292,648.53 | 1,378,482.50 | 1,465,911.52 | 1,554,526.81 | 1,643,882.72 | 1,733,499.56 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 | 2,708,640,000.00 |
| Metric | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period Start | 9/30/25 | 1/1/26 | 1/1/27 | 1/1/28 | 1/1/29 | 1/1/30 | 1/1/31 | 1/1/32 | 1/1/33 | 1/1/34 |
| Period End | 12/31/25 | 12/31/26 | 12/31/27 | 12/31/28 | 12/31/29 | 12/31/30 | 12/31/31 | 12/31/32 | 12/31/33 | 12/31/34 |
| Mid-Point | 11/15/25 | 7/2/26 | 7/2/27 | 7/1/28 | 7/2/29 | 7/2/30 | 7/2/31 | 7/1/32 | 7/2/33 | 7/2/34 |
| Time (t) | 0.10 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 2.46 | 3.46 | 4.46 | 5.46 | 6.46 | 7.46 | 8.46 |
| Valuation Date | 1/16/26 | |||||||||
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.59 | ||
| PV UFCF | 965,946.77 | 1,018,296.15 | 1,028,233.90 | 1,035,381.18 | 1,039,675.01 | 1,041,075.73 | 1,039,567.61 | 1,035,159.13 | 1,027,882.92 | 1,017,795.37 | Raw: 39,306,906.67 30,635,006.52 |
Raw: 52,712,322.09 29,990,302.10 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 35,722,539.53 | 40,239,315.88 |
| (-) Net Debt | -18.02 | -18.02 |
| Equity Value | 35,722,557.55 | 40,239,333.89 |
| (/) Shares Out | 2,708.64 | 2,708.64 |
| Fair Value | $13,188.37 | $14,855.92 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 62.97% | 62.97% |
| Buy Price | $4,883.65 | $5,501.15 |
| Current Price | $2,330.00 | $2,330.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 109.60% | 136.10% |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.54 | ||
| PV UFCF | 965,044.40 | 1,013,927.65 | 1,014,298.55 | 1,011,847.75 | 1,006,592.12 | 998,571.72 | 987,849.30 | 974,509.53 | 958,657.87 | 940,419.18 | Raw: 27,119,260.09 20,368,234.01 |
Raw: 36,368,142.24 19,029,234.94 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 25,379,944.49 | 28,900,953.03 |
| (-) Net Debt | -18.02 | -18.02 |
| Equity Value | 25,379,962.51 | 28,900,971.04 |
| (/) Shares Out | 2,708.64 | 2,708.64 |
| Fair Value | $9,370.00 | $10,669.92 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 62.97% | 62.97% |
| Buy Price | $3,469.71 | $3,951.07 |
| Current Price | $2,330.00 | $2,330.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 48.91% | 69.57% |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.64 | ||
| PV UFCF | 966,858.50 | 1,022,724.94 | 1,042,494.91 | 1,059,691.78 | 1,074,172.88 | 1,085,815.85 | 1,094,520.42 | 1,100,209.83 | 1,102,831.93 | 1,102,359.95 | Raw: 70,832,390.74 57,306,808.72 |
Raw: 94,989,408.01 58,810,580.93 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 62,472,751.73 | 69,462,261.93 |
| (-) Net Debt | -18.02 | -18.02 |
| Equity Value | 62,472,769.75 | 69,462,279.95 |
| (/) Shares Out | 2,708.64 | 2,708.64 |
| Fair Value | $23,064.26 | $25,644.71 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 62.97% | 62.97% |
| Buy Price | $8,540.69 | $9,496.24 |
| Current Price | $2,330.00 | $2,330.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 266.55% | 307.56% |
| Metric | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implied Revenue | 52,670,101.48 | 86,148,277.56 | 140,905,855.83 | 230,468,452.43 | 376,958,837.17 | 616,561,457.43 | 1,008,460,323.25 | 1,649,457,992.09 | 2,697,886,674.32 | 4,412,717,718.42 |
| Constant Implied Growth | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% | 63.56% |
| Implied Free Cash Flow | 5,267.01 | 8,614.83 | 14,090.59 | 23,046.85 | 37,695.88 | 61,656.15 | 100,846.03 | 164,945.80 | 269,788.67 | 441,271.77 |
| Discount Factor | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| Present Value of Implied FCF | 4,998.91 | 7,379.04 | 11,333.03 | 17,405.74 | 26,732.46 | 41,056.82 | 63,056.76 | 96,845.18 | 148,738.83 | 228,439.24 |
| Year | Valuation Date | Actual Price | Realized Growth (5Y) | Calculated Fair Value | Valuation Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019-12-31 | $2,050.00 | 7.39% | $-139.59 | -106.81% |
| 2018 | 2018-12-31 | $2,100.00 | 7.15% | $458.93 | -78.15% |
| 2017 | 2017-12-31 | $2,990.00 | 7.60% | $-304.63 | -110.19% |
| 2016 | 2016-12-31 | $2,920.00 | 6.23% | $653.77 | -77.61% |
| 2015 | 2015-12-31 | $3,000.00 | 4.71% | $10.99 | -99.63% |
| 2014 | 2014-12-31 | $2,800.00 | 5.65% | $-487.27 | -117.40% |
| 2013 | 2013-12-31 | $4,000.00 | 5.01% | $-1,112.55 | -127.81% |
| 2012 | 2012-12-31 | $1,750.00 | 5.68% | $-371.88 | -121.25% |
| 2011 | 2011-12-31 | $750.00 | 8.08% | $-447.52 | -159.67% |
| 2010 | 2010-12-31 | $1,135.63 | 11.58% | $0.00 | -100.00% |
| $4,158.69 - $8,235.28 | 8 |
| $8,235.28 - $12,311.87 | 257 |
| $12,311.87 - $16,388.47 | 349 |
| $16,388.47 - $20,465.06 | 195 |
| $20,465.06 - $24,541.66 | 87 |
| $24,541.66 - $28,618.25 | 42 |
| $28,618.25 - $32,694.85 | 32 |
| $32,694.85 - $36,771.44 | 5 |
| $36,771.44 - $40,848.04 | 8 |
| $40,848.04 - $44,924.63 | 4 |
| $44,924.63 - $49,001.23 | 4 |
| $49,001.23 - $53,077.82 | 3 |
| $53,077.82 - $57,154.42 | 2 |
| $57,154.42 - $61,231.01 | 2 |
| $61,231.01 - $65,307.61 | 0 |
| $65,307.61 - $69,384.20 | 0 |
| $69,384.20 - $73,460.79 | 0 |
| $73,460.79 - $77,537.39 | 1 |
| $77,537.39 - $81,613.98 | 0 |
| $81,613.98 - $85,690.58 | 1 |