Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited

Fair Value Summary

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034
% Growth	4.33%	4.29%	4.25%	4.22%	4.18%	4.14%	4.11%	4.07%	4.04%	4.00%
Revenue	8,117.37	8,465.60	8,825.70	9,197.92	9,582.50	9,979.69	10,389.73	10,812.85	11,249.28	11,699.25
EBITDA	1,215.26	1,267.39	1,321.30	1,377.02	1,434.60	1,494.06	1,555.45	1,618.80	1,684.13	1,751.50
D&A	-370.18	-386.06	-402.48	-419.46	-437.00	-455.11	-473.81	-493.10	-513.01	-533.53
EBIT	845.07	881.33	918.82	957.57	997.60	1,038.96	1,081.64	1,125.69	1,171.13	1,217.97
Pro forma Taxes	-232.11	-242.07	-252.36	-263.01	-274.00	-285.36	-297.09	-309.18	-321.66	-334.53
NOPAT	612.97	639.26	666.45	694.56	723.60	753.59	784.56	816.51	849.46	883.44
Capital Expenditures	-439.63	-458.49	-477.99	-498.15	-518.97	-540.49	-562.69	-585.61	-609.25	-633.62
NWC Investment	-67.18	-69.50	-71.87	-74.29	-76.76	-79.27	-81.84	-84.45	-87.11	-89.81
(+) D&A	370.18	386.06	402.48	419.46	437.00	455.11	473.81	493.10	513.01	533.53
Free Cash Flow	476.34	497.34	519.08	541.58	564.86	588.94	613.83	639.55	666.12	693.55
Diluted Shares Outstanding	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00	969,066,250.00

Metric	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Dec-32	Dec-33	Dec-34
Period Start	6/30/25	1/1/26	1/1/27	1/1/28	1/1/29	1/1/30	1/1/31	1/1/32	1/1/33	1/1/34
Period End	12/31/25	12/31/26	12/31/27	12/31/28	12/31/29	12/31/30	12/31/31	12/31/32	12/31/33	12/31/34
Mid-Point	9/30/25	7/2/26	7/2/27	7/1/28	7/2/29	7/2/30	7/2/31	7/1/32	7/2/33	7/2/34
Time (t)	0.10	0.46	1.46	2.46	3.46	4.46	5.46	6.46	7.46	8.46
Valuation Date	1/16/26

WACC: 6.32%Terminal Growth: 3.05%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.97	0.91	0.86	0.81	0.76	0.72	0.67	0.63	0.60
PV UFCF	473.43	483.51	474.66	465.81	456.96	448.12	439.31	430.51	421.74	413.01	Raw: 17,835.34 13,992.96	Raw: 21,898.42 12,647.25

WACC: 7.32%Terminal Growth: 2.55%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.97	0.90	0.84	0.78	0.73	0.68	0.63	0.59	0.55
PV UFCF	472.99	481.44	468.22	455.20	442.39	429.80	417.41	405.25	393.30	381.56	Raw: 12,160.22 9,193.26	Raw: 14,930.45 7,929.16

WACC: 5.32%Terminal Growth: 3.55%

Metric	2025	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	TV (5y)	TV (10y)
Discount Factor	0.99	0.98	0.93	0.88	0.84	0.79	0.75	0.72	0.68	0.65
PV UFCF	473.88	485.62	481.26	476.76	472.15	467.41	462.57	457.61	452.55	447.39	Raw: 33,162.81 27,010.47	Raw: 40,717.65 25,594.07

Current Price$2.97

WACC Used6.3%

IMPLIED REVENUE GROWTH65.74%

Metric	2027	2028	2029	2030	2031	2032	2033	2034	2035	2036
Implied Revenue	26,155.81	43,350.89	71,850.19	119,085.19	197,372.95	327,127.83	542,184.83	898,622.38	1,489,385.43	2,468,521.81
Constant Implied Growth	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%	65.74%
Implied Free Cash Flow	2.62	4.34	7.19	11.91	19.74	32.71	54.22	89.86	148.94	246.85
Discount Factor	0.96	0.86	0.81	0.76	0.72	0.67	0.63	0.60	0.56	0.53
Present Value of Implied FCF	2.51	3.73	5.81	9.06	14.13	22.02	34.33	53.51	83.42	130.05

Valuation based on actual realized growth.

Year	Valuation Date	Actual Price	Realized Growth (5Y)	Calculated Fair Value	Valuation Delta
2019	2019-12-31	$6.23	4.85%	$14.44	131.84%
2018	2018-12-31	$5.65	5.52%	$-1.63	-128.77%
2017	2017-12-31	$5.12	9.38%	$0.05	-99.04%
2016	2016-12-31	$6.40	20.00%	$6.04	-5.59%
2015	2015-12-31	$5.72	24.86%	$-3.47	-160.67%
2014	2014-12-31	$6.47	27.13%	$-2.60	-140.24%
2013	2013-12-31	$5.74	26.02%	$-0.56	-109.68%
2012	2012-12-31	$3.25	26.02%	$-0.35	-110.78%
2011	2011-12-31	$1.61	30.31%	$-8.42	-623.01%
2010	2010-12-31	$1.54	35.61%	$6.22	303.77%
2009	2009-12-31	$1.89	35.10%	$3.66	93.81%

Mean Fair Value
$22.31

Median
$17.05

10th Percentile
$11.73

90th Percentile
$30.66