| Current Price | $41,150.00 |
| 5Y Range | 2,229,767.61 – 4,991,853.60 |
| 5Y Selected | 3,610,810.60 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 65.92% |
| 5Y Buy Price | $1,324,445.33 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 3,118.58% |
| 10Y Range | 1,927,847.28 – 3,952,548.49 |
| 10Y Selected | 2,940,197.89 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 65.92% |
| 10Y Buy Price | $1,078,464.59 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 2,520.81% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue R2 (5Y) | 0.9650 |
| Revenue R2 (10Y) | 0.9286 |
| Net Income R2 (5Y) | 0.5811 |
| Net Income R2 (10Y) | 0.2910 |
| EBITDA R2 (5Y) | 0.0078 |
| EBITDA R2 (10Y) | 0.6375 |
| FCF R2 (5Y) | 0.4094 |
| FCF R2 (10Y) | 0.6576 |
| Safety Score | 0.3668 |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % Growth | 24.69% | 22.39% | 20.09% | 17.79% | 15.49% | 13.19% | 10.90% | 8.60% | 6.30% | 4.00% |
| Revenue | 14,495,752.36 | 17,741,007.29 | 21,305,028.99 | 25,095,347.04 | 28,983,185.13 | 32,807,172.47 | 36,381,632.02 | 39,509,326.97 | 41,997,803.49 | 43,677,715.63 |
| EBITDA | 1,740,757.35 | 2,130,471.60 | 2,558,465.74 | 3,013,635.21 | 3,480,515.62 | 3,939,728.35 | 4,368,975.94 | 4,744,572.72 | 5,043,407.42 | 5,245,143.72 |
| D&A | -129,305.28 | -158,253.67 | -190,045.52 | -223,855.99 | -258,536.36 | -292,647.16 | -324,532.12 | -352,431.85 | -374,629.60 | -389,614.79 |
| EBIT | 1,611,452.06 | 1,972,217.94 | 2,368,420.21 | 2,789,779.22 | 3,221,979.26 | 3,647,081.19 | 4,044,443.81 | 4,392,140.87 | 4,668,777.82 | 4,855,528.93 |
| Pro forma Taxes | -429,568.81 | -525,739.07 | -631,355.71 | -743,678.43 | -858,891.08 | -972,211.56 | -1,078,137.51 | -1,170,823.99 | -1,244,567.79 | -1,294,350.50 |
| NOPAT | 1,181,883.25 | 1,446,478.86 | 1,737,064.51 | 2,046,100.79 | 2,363,088.18 | 2,674,869.63 | 2,966,306.30 | 3,221,316.89 | 3,424,210.03 | 3,561,178.43 |
| Capital Expenditures | -166,760.65 | -204,094.40 | -245,095.28 | -288,699.49 | -333,425.58 | -377,417.13 | -418,538.09 | -454,519.42 | -483,147.11 | -502,472.99 |
| NWC Investment | 2,224,946.46 | 2,515,900.50 | 2,763,026.08 | 2,938,463.48 | 3,014,066.39 | 2,964,565.77 | 2,771,118.07 | 2,424,761.53 | 1,929,204.17 | 1,302,360.49 |
| (+) D&A | 129,305.28 | 158,253.67 | 190,045.52 | 223,855.99 | 258,536.36 | 292,647.16 | 324,532.12 | 352,431.85 | 374,629.60 | 389,614.79 |
| Free Cash Flow | 3,369,374.36 | 3,916,538.63 | 4,445,040.84 | 4,919,720.77 | 5,302,265.34 | 5,554,665.43 | 5,643,418.41 | 5,543,990.84 | 5,244,896.69 | 4,750,680.71 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 | 43,152,000.00 |
| Metric | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period Start | 9/30/25 | 1/1/26 | 1/1/27 | 1/1/28 | 1/1/29 | 1/1/30 | 1/1/31 | 1/1/32 | 1/1/33 | 1/1/34 |
| Period End | 12/31/25 | 12/31/26 | 12/31/27 | 12/31/28 | 12/31/29 | 12/31/30 | 12/31/31 | 12/31/32 | 12/31/33 | 12/31/34 |
| Mid-Point | 11/15/25 | 7/2/26 | 7/2/27 | 7/1/28 | 7/2/29 | 7/2/30 | 7/2/31 | 7/1/32 | 7/2/33 | 7/2/34 |
| Time (t) | 0.10 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 2.46 | 3.46 | 4.46 | 5.46 | 6.46 | 7.46 | 8.46 |
| Valuation Date | 1/16/26 | |||||||||
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.57 | ||
| PV UFCF | 3,347,202.19 | 3,799,380.14 | 4,036,573.84 | 4,182,196.29 | 4,219,414.85 | 4,137,857.09 | 3,935,379.73 | 3,619,042.73 | 3,205,051.09 | 2,717,569.59 | Raw: 145,955,661.86 112,376,401.97 |
Raw: 130,772,170.46 72,377,498.51 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 131,961,169.29 | 109,577,166.06 |
| (-) Net Debt | 18,017.22 | 18,017.22 |
| Equity Value | 131,943,152.07 | 109,559,148.84 |
| (/) Shares Out | 43.15 | 43.15 |
| Fair Value | $3,057,637.01 | $2,538,912.42 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 65.92% | 65.92% |
| Buy Price | $1,042,042.69 | $865,261.35 |
| Current Price | $41,150.00 | $41,150.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 2,432.30% | 2,002.70% |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 0.53 | ||
| PV UFCF | 3,344,084.87 | 3,783,130.56 | 3,982,033.59 | 4,087,425.67 | 4,085,555.56 | 3,969,426.99 | 3,740,179.22 | 3,407,633.79 | 2,989,837.60 | 2,511,578.48 | Raw: 103,706,378.09 76,954,718.70 |
Raw: 92,917,999.76 47,307,596.92 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 96,236,948.95 | 83,208,483.25 |
| (-) Net Debt | 18,017.22 | 18,017.22 |
| Equity Value | 96,218,931.73 | 83,190,466.03 |
| (/) Shares Out | 43.15 | 43.15 |
| Fair Value | $2,229,767.61 | $1,927,847.28 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 65.92% | 65.92% |
| Buy Price | $759,904.80 | $657,010.35 |
| Current Price | $41,150.00 | $41,150.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 1,746.67% | 1,496.62% |
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | TV (5y) | TV (10y) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discount Factor | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.62 | ||
| PV UFCF | 3,350,351.78 | 3,815,853.34 | 4,092,384.66 | 4,280,086.85 | 4,358,981.43 | 4,315,120.22 | 4,142,749.55 | 3,845,743.96 | 3,438,002.86 | 2,942,636.20 | Raw: 244,670,446.34 195,528,825.77 |
Raw: 219,217,842.65 131,996,478.99 |
| 5-Year Horizon | 10-Year Horizon | |
|---|---|---|
| UFCF | UFCF | |
| Enterprise Value | 215,426,483.83 | 170,578,389.84 |
| (-) Net Debt | 18,017.22 | 18,017.22 |
| Equity Value | 215,408,466.61 | 170,560,372.62 |
| (/) Shares Out | 43.15 | 43.15 |
| Fair Value | $4,991,853.60 | $3,952,548.49 |
| (-) Safety Margin | 65.92% | 65.92% |
| Buy Price | $1,701,223.71 | $1,347,028.53 |
| Current Price | $41,150.00 | $41,150.00 |
| Upside (to Buy Price) | 4,034.20% | 3,173.46% |
| Metric | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implied Revenue | 24,349,619.04 | 38,141,395.45 | 59,744,920.22 | 93,584,816.44 | 146,591,841.38 | 229,622,376.53 | 359,681,925.74 | 563,408,016.48 | 882,525,838.32 | 1,382,393,988.93 |
| Constant Implied Growth | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% | 56.64% |
| Implied Free Cash Flow | 2,434.96 | 3,814.14 | 5,974.49 | 9,358.48 | 14,659.18 | 22,962.24 | 35,968.19 | 56,340.80 | 88,252.58 | 138,239.40 |
| Discount Factor | 0.95 | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| Present Value of Implied FCF | 2,305.12 | 3,242.35 | 4,754.36 | 6,971.45 | 10,222.43 | 14,989.44 | 21,979.44 | 32,229.08 | 47,258.41 | 69,296.34 |
| Year | Valuation Date | Actual Price | Realized Growth (5Y) | Calculated Fair Value | Valuation Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019-12-31 | $19,000.00 | 22.87% | $-2,916,672.12 | -15,450.91% |
| 2018 | 2018-12-31 | $19,100.00 | 31.19% | $-1,926,935.00 | -10,188.66% |
| 2017 | 2017-12-31 | $19,550.00 | 36.01% | $-1,330,407.49 | -6,905.15% |
| 2016 | 2016-12-31 | $18,000.00 | 37.72% | $-622,641.93 | -3,559.12% |
| 2015 | 2015-12-31 | $21,800.00 | 35.88% | $-316,900.17 | -1,553.67% |
| 2014 | 2014-12-31 | $11,950.00 | 26.83% | $-245,361.80 | -2,153.24% |
| 2013 | 2013-12-31 | $15,150.00 | 23.27% | $136,139.02 | 798.61% |
| 2012 | 2012-12-31 | $16,600.00 | 45.29% | $-69,944.15 | -521.35% |
| 2011 | 2011-12-31 | $10,300.00 | 52.85% | $-274,385.28 | -2,763.93% |
| 2010 | 2010-12-31 | $8,550.00 | 43.46% | $347,746.97 | 3,967.22% |
| 2009 | 2009-12-31 | $7,500.00 | -1.43% | $-92,202.28 | -1,329.36% |
| 2008 | 2008-12-31 | $4,270.00 | -36.92% | $5,218.21 | 22.21% |
| 2007 | 2007-12-31 | $10,150.00 | -28.87% | $15,626.95 | 53.96% |
| $1,474,057.81 - $1,944,204.13 | 107 |
| $1,944,204.13 - $2,414,350.45 | 300 |
| $2,414,350.45 - $2,884,496.77 | 256 |
| $2,884,496.77 - $3,354,643.09 | 160 |
| $3,354,643.09 - $3,824,789.41 | 67 |
| $3,824,789.41 - $4,294,935.73 | 49 |
| $4,294,935.73 - $4,765,082.05 | 21 |
| $4,765,082.05 - $5,235,228.37 | 13 |
| $5,235,228.37 - $5,705,374.68 | 11 |
| $5,705,374.68 - $6,175,521.00 | 8 |
| $6,175,521.00 - $6,645,667.32 | 2 |
| $6,645,667.32 - $7,115,813.64 | 1 |
| $7,115,813.64 - $7,585,959.96 | 0 |
| $7,585,959.96 - $8,056,106.28 | 1 |
| $8,056,106.28 - $8,526,252.60 | 1 |
| $8,526,252.60 - $8,996,398.92 | 1 |
| $8,996,398.92 - $9,466,545.23 | 1 |
| $9,466,545.23 - $9,936,691.55 | 0 |
| $9,936,691.55 - $10,406,837.87 | 0 |
| $10,406,837.87 - $10,876,984.19 | 1 |